Updated 2025 NBA championship probability: Thunder leads, Warriors decline sharply due to Curry s injury

On May 12, 2025, ESPN BET updated the probability of winning the championship of each team. The Oklahoma City Thunder (+190) topped the list, showing their strong momentum this season, followed by the Celtics (+215), two teams undoubtedly one of the most competitive teams of the season.

In contrast, the Warriors' odds fell sharply, falling from +3300 after the second round to the current +6000. The main reason is that the team's main player Stephen Curry is absent due to injury, which seriously affects the Warriors' combat effectiveness. Curry's absence made the Warriors' outlook uncertain, and the drop in odds also reflects the market's low expectations for them in the playoffs.

The specific odds rankings are as follows:

Thunder: +190

Celtics: +215

Cavaliers: +525

Timberwolves: +825

Nuggets: +875

Knicks: +2000

Pacers: +2500

Warriors: +6000 (It is worth noting that the G2 post-match is +3300)

The rise of the Thunder is eye-catching, and the performance of young players and the overall stability of the team make them the biggest favorites to win the championship. The Celtics are still strong teams in the Eastern Conference, and their strength and experience make them another strong contender. The odds of the Cavaliers and Timberwolves follow closely, indicating that the two teams' performance in the playoffs has also gained more attention. The current low odds of the Warriors highlight the impact of Curry's injury on the team. As the core of the team, Curry's absence not only greatly reduced the Warriors' offensive firepower, but also made the team lose its previous advantage in the playoff competition. Although the Warriors still have experienced players such as Dream Chasing Green, the fact that Curry is missing undoubtedly makes the team's hope of winning the championship even more slim.

As the playoffs deepen, the probability of winning the championship of each team will further change according to the game progress. In the next few weeks, strong teams such as the Thunder and Celtics will continue to rank among the top odds in the championship, and if the Warriors cannot adjust their state quickly, they may face the situation of being overtaken by other teams.

This competition is destined to be full of suspense. The direction of the NBA playoffs will affect the probability of each team's winning championship and will also determine the final title.