After a big score of 2-2! US media predicts the latest probability of winning the championship: 80% to 20%, completely one-sided

On June 14, many fans probably watched today's NBA Finals. The Pacers thought they could easily win the game, but in the end, the gutters capsized and the team fell into a scoring drought, allowing Alexander to score 15 points and lead the team to complete the reversal. After winning the game, the score between the two sides reached 2-2. The Pacers were very close to winning the match point, which was a pity.

3-1 and 2-2 are not the same situation at all. If you win the match point, the Pacers will have at least two games tolerant. Now both sides have returned to the same starting line 2-2, and the Thunder have also found their home advantage. The Pacers' advantage is gone, and the next game Tianwangshan will start at the Thunder's home court, which will be a lot of pressure for the Pacers. After today's game, US media Kalshi predicted the latest chance of winning the championship. Let's take a look.

Pacers

Pacers are considered to have a chance of winning the championship, which is completely one-sided. The reason why the Pacers are not favored is because they have lost their home advantage, because the next few key games are all played in the Thunder, and Tianwangshan is the same as tiebreaker. As for the referee's rhythm of controlling the field, it is difficult to not play until the tiebreaker. For young teams like them, home advantage will be very critical, whether it is the fans or the referee.

The reason why many teams want to grab the home advantage of the playoffs is that the Pacers were defeated by their opponents in this game is because they exposed the team's biggest shortcomings. Although this team has multiple players who can handle ball scoring, their strength is too average. There are no players who can provide stable output at critical moments, especially when facing high-intensity defense, you can't expect blue-collar workers like Nesmith and Nemhard to always stand up as surprises.

You can't always expect Matherin to score 27 points on the bench. The team won the third game of the series. Matherin played this way, but today he also exposed the problem of lack of experience. Not only did he make 1 of 4 free throws at critical moments, he also made several early fouls to get the opponent free throws. Originally, the Pacers still had hope of turning the tables, but he made such a fuss, but he had no chance. Carlisle may reduce his use in the next game.

The Pacers can make not many changes now. They just rotate 10 people. How many cards the team has been determined? I really can't think of any changes Carlisle can make. After all, the overall strength of the team is much worse than that of the opponent. Tactical masters also need to have cards in their hands. Of course, the Pacers are not without any chance. If Sika and Turner play more firmly, they still have hope. These two have advantages in the matchup. The reason why the Thunder accounted for 80% is mainly because their overall strength is stronger. In this game, the Thunder seemed to have found a way to crack the Pacers' defense. Although Nemhard kept biting Alexander, they frequently used high pick-and-roll in the fourth quarter, allowing Alexander to name other opponents, and did not fight with Nemhard, so they also released Alexander's firepower. And as long as Alexander was present, the Pacers were very passive.

As long as Alexander is present, even if he doesn't score, he can attract defense and create opportunities for his teammates. For example, Jewish. If the opponent focuses on defending Alexander, Jewish can use his excellent singles to help the team end. Jewish has performed well in the past two games, and his singles ability is very good. He is a bit similar to Alexander, who is very calm and will never make low-level mistakes.

Thunder gradually found a way to fight against the Pacers. They were to use iron-blooded defense to bite the opponent. In the case of team basketball teams like Pacers, no one could provide stable output when the team needed to score. On the other hand, when the Thunder faced high-intensity defense, if the opponent defended one-on-one, Alexander would punish them. If Alexander hit him, Jewish would stand up.

There are role players. The Pacers can win two games. To be honest, it is because of their substitute lineup that their starting lineup cannot compare to their opponents. However, through recent games, Dort and Caruso have gradually adapted to the Pacers' defense. Both of them have performed well, especially Caruso. He has scored 20+ in two finals. His rich playoff experience has helped the Thunder and can always stand up when the team needs to score.

Overall, the Thunder's talent is better. Their biggest weakness may not be the bench but Dignot. However, from the depth of the playoffs, Dignot is also growing. He learned to break the league defense in the series against the Nuggets, and now he has found a way to defend against the Pacers. Youngness makes him have a disadvantage in the face of Carlisle, but through this game, he is not so stupid. Having said that, what do you want to say about these two teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.