AA-Sport > Basketball > NBA Finals G1 prediction: The Thunder took the lead at home?
NBA Finals G1 prediction: The Thunder took the lead at home?
Family, at 8:30 am on Friday, June 6, the Thunder will play against the Pacers at home. Who can get the start of this "Youth Storm" duel?
G1 Key Highlights
Core Game:
Thunder "Death Defense": No. 1 in the playoffs defensive efficiency league (104.7), Dort + Caruso's outside lock formation specialist Halliburton - 4 regular season encounters, Harry averaged only 12 points per game, and was defended to doubt his life.
Pacers "Team Magic": three-point shooting percentage is 40% (No. 1 in the playoffs), but the Thunder limits their opponent's three-point shooting percentage to only 33%, and the Pacers may be silent on the outside.
Home Hegemony: The Thunder's home winning rate in the regular season is 89%, and only lost 1 home game so far in the playoffs! The Pacers have a poor winning rate of playing strong teams away (5 wins and 8 losses).
G1 win-win and loser: Is the Thunder stable?
Alexander has no singles: MVP averaged 29.5 points per game this season, with a 64% winning rate in key goals. Pacer Nembhard is small and can't defend himself; if Nesmith is replaced, Jewish will explode again - the Thunder dual-core driver is too difficult to target.
The turnover battle determines life and death: The Thunder forced their opponents to make 18 mistakes per game (No. 1 in the league), and Kill Halliburton (2.8 mistakes per game in the playoffs). If the Pacer makes more than 15 mistakes, it will collapse directly.
Pacers turnaround conditions: Unless the three-pointers recover (only 31% shooting percentage against the Thunder in the regular season) + Siakam misplaced Homgren, but the probability is too low.
Personal prediction: Thunder G1 will win!
Reason three combos:
Home momentum crush + Defensive restraint Pacers' life goal + Alexander's hard solution without any solution.
Score Reference: Thunder 110-104 Pacers (supported by ESPN model).
So do you think Halliburton can change his fate against the will of heaven? Or was Alexander directly accorded to the gods?
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