AA-Sport > Basketball > US media updates the latest winning probability: Warriors win G1 but rank eighth, the Cavaliers fall to 16%, and the first team is 49%
US media updates the latest winning probability: Warriors win G1 but rank eighth, the Cavaliers fall to 16%, and the first team is 49%
On May 8, the second round of the NBA playoffs has begun for a while. One of the four-group matches has finished G2, and the others have finished G1. Today, the Celtics and the Knicks, the Thunder and the Nuggets will all usher in the series G2 competition. The win or loss of any game in the playoffs is very important to both sides. Recently, the US media also updated the probability of winning the championship after all the teams played G1. Let’s see if it’s reasonable?
The Eighth Warriors
The Warriors are considered to have a chance of winning the championship of only 2.6%. When they see this, some fans may ask: Why are the Warriors still not favored by the G1 of the series? Because Curry is injured, and the latest inspection result is that he will miss G2-G4, and he will even be able to return until G6. In this case, Butler is single-core, and it is difficult for them to withstand the Timberwolves. If all players play, the Warriors' current probability of winning the championship should be in the top four in the league. The previous few times US media predicted that they were all in the top four, because Curry's injury has now fallen.
The Seventh Knicks
The Knicks are considered to have a probability of winning the championship of 3.4%. The Knicks defeated the Celtics in the first round of the second round of the playoffs. To be honest, the Celtics failed to play the level they deserve in this game. Their three-pointers are too iron. If they perform normally, they probably can't beat them. The advantages and disadvantages of the Knicks are obvious. Their star Brunson is very stable at the critical moment, but the team's bench depth is limited. I don't know how long the Thibodeau's five-donkey tactic can last, but the physical energy consumption will gradually decline in their playoffs.
The Sixth Pacers
Pacers are considered to have a probability of winning the championship of 3.6%. This last season's runner-up in the division finals is still not favored. Even though they have already led the Cavaliers in the East 2-0, Halliburton has been seriously underestimated. His hands at critical moments are really hard, and Carlisle's system and his coaching experience have also allowed the Pacers to calmly deal with any critical moments. The offensive system of this team is so good, and young players have also begun to realize their talents. I am optimistic that they will enter the Eastern Conference Finals this season and may be able to go far. The 5th Timberwolves is considered to have a 4.7% chance of winning the championship. Although the Timberwolves now have an advantage in the Warriors in the Remnant Formation, the US media still does not think that he has the ability to go far in the next series. If the Timberwolves enter the division final, it is okay for them to meet the Nuggets. After all, they are not afraid of the Nuggets, but if they encounter the Thunder, they can only suffer a defeat. During the regular season, the Thunder easily defeated the Timberwolves, and the lineup is very restrained. Compared with other championship teams, the biggest problem for the Timberwolves is that they are unstable. Can they still lose against the Warriors in the Remnant Formation?
The fourth Nuggets
The Nuggets and the Timberwolves' chances of winning the championship are the same as 4.7%. The Nuggets can defeat the Thunder in the first game of the series. To be honest, all fans who have watched the fourth quarter know that in order to ensure the viewing of the game, the referee at that time relied on the whistle to keep the score at around 4 points in the last minute. If it were not for the referee, the result of this game might have been concluded long ago. I am not saying that they favor the Thunder. Rational fans who have seen this game should be able to see that Jokic is better than Alexander. If the two teams are allowed to play normally, the Thunder may be a stronger team.
The third Celtics
The probability of winning the championship is 15.2%. After losing G1 in the series, the probability of winning the championship is also lower than before. The Celtics this season is indeed not as strong as last season. Holiday and Horford are old, and their condition and physical fitness are difficult to guarantee. Porzingis is an ATM in the inside, and he can't stand it at all when facing the top center. The double-Tanhua fights tough battles very inefficiently, but they have experience in winning the championship and have excellent lineup thickness. As long as they perform steadily, it is still worth looking forward to.
The Second Cavaliers
The Cavaliers are considered to have a 16.4% chance of winning the championship. Compared with the previous Cavaliers' previous chance of winning the championship, it is indeed a lot lower, but they are still ranked second, which is surprising. After all, they are all behind 0-2 now. Of course, one of the main reasons for their lag behind is injury. If the core can return healthy, then they still have the strength to fight with the Pacers. The team's paper strength is no worse than that of the Pacers, that is, Atkinson is not as good as Carlisle in on-the-spot adjustments, and the Pacers' lineup configuration and vitality can match the Cavaliers. This round of the series is not easy to play.
The first Thunder
The probability of winning the championship reached 49.4%. Although they lost G1, they are still the most optimistic about winning the championship. This is understandable. The main problem of the Thunder losing G1 is not itself. Besides, except for Alexander, the other dual-core performance is abnormal. They probably won the normal performance. After all, they swept the first round and advanced for 8 days. The Nuggets continued to play. In terms of state and key ball processing, the Nuggets can obviously adapt faster. The final result of this round of series still needs to be observed as the game goes in depth.
Speaking of this, what do you want to say about these 8 teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.
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