7, 16 Analysis reference points!!!

At 15:00 on July 16, 2025, the Women's Football Team East Asian Cup will be held. The two sides have 4 points in this game, which is crucial to the title. The following is an analysis of this game:

The team's recent state

Japanese Women's Football Team

: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games, scoring 25 goals and conceding 13 goals, performing well on the offensive end, averaging 2.2 goals per game, but there are certain hidden dangers on the defensive end, conceding 8 goals in the last 6 games, and conceding 1.33 goals per game. In this East Asian Cup, the Japanese women's football team defeated Taipei, China 4-0 in the first match, and was tied by South Korea 1-1 in the second round, with a ball possession rate of over 60%.

Chinese Women's Football Team

: In the last 10 games, they have also been 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, scoring 24 goals and conceding 14 goals. In the first round of this East Asian Cup, South Korea tied 2-2 in stoppage time, and narrowly defeated Taipei, China 4-2 in the second round. The 22-year-old forward Shao Ziqin performed well, scoring 3 goals in 2 games, leading the scorer list.

Team lineup situation

Japanese Women's Football Team

: The forward Ueno's real departure, resulting in a decrease in the fulcrum ability of the frontcourt. Although the substitute Yagawa Hiyu is faster, the success rate of receiving the ball from behind is only 65% of Ueno's, which may weaken the stability of ball possession. However, the team's overall lineup is still strong. Midfielder Susano Averages 85 passes per game with a success rate of 90%, winger Yuzuki Yamamoto Averages 3 times per game, and Rishi Ishikawa Averages 5 interceptions per game on the defensive end.

Chinese Women's Football Team

: All teams are healthy, and all main players can play, with the thickness of the lineup. Wang Shuang's left knee has not healed and is expected to appear on the bench. His 30-meter pass is still a weapon to break the situation. Zhang Linyan contributed 1 assist in 20 minutes on the court, and her breakthrough on the wing was a "defensive weapon", while Shao Ziqin was the core player in the penalty area.

Tactical style

Japanese women's football team

: Usually adopts a 4-3-3 formation, and leads the game with ball control, with averaging 18 more passes than China. Through the midfield passes and cuts with the central part of the Kanno Saoyin, and cooperates with the winger's side impact, a three-dimensional attack of "middle restraint + wing blasting". The defensive end relies on interception by midfielders and the overall defensive system.

Chinese Women's Football Team

: Focusing on a 4-4-2 formation, adopting the tactic of "wind attack + middle lane encirclement", combining Shao Ziqin's speed with Wang Shuang's creativity, with a counterattack success rate of up to 38%. On the defensive end, you need to pay attention to the problem of insufficient speed of returning to defense after assisting the full-back.

Historical confrontations

Japanese Women's Football Team has achieved 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 matches with the Chinese Women's Football Team, with an absolute advantage. The most recent encounter was at the 2023 Asian Games, with the Japanese women's football team narrowly defeating the Chinese women's football team 4-3. However, the Chinese women's football team eliminated the Japanese women's football team through a penalty kick in the 2022 Asian Cup semi-finals, proving that it has a certain ability to counterattack.

Weather factors

: Rain is expected on the day of the game, which has a greater impact on the Japanese team's tactic of relying on ground passes and cuts, and the ball possession rate may drop by 5-8 percentage points. The Chinese team's style of playing that focuses on breaking through the wing is less disturbed, and the counterattack efficiency may be improved.

Psychological level

: The Japanese team has remained unbeaten against the Chinese team in the last 6 games, and its psychological advantages are obvious, but the Chinese team has shown a certain degree of resilience in this game. They averaged 1 game when they were lagging behind, which may become the mental motivation to break the deadlock.

Goal time

: 60% of the Japanese team's goals are concentrated in the first half, and they are good at establishing psychological advantages through early goals; if the Chinese team can stick to the half-time, physical advantage may become the key to breaking the situation in the second half.

Overall, the Japanese women's football team has a certain advantage in strength and historical confrontations, but the Chinese women's football team also has the opportunity to create surprises with the outstanding state and targeted tactical arrangements of players such as Shao Ziqin. There is certain uncertainty in the results of the game. It is expected that the Japanese women's football team will have a 2-1 victory over the Chinese women's football team, but it is not ruled out that the Chinese team will win a surprise victory or the two sides will draw.