[Personal Optimism] 3-String 1: The Czech U21 may not be able to break the curse of losing streak, New York City s home goal is three-pointer (with sweeping)

Thursday 002 European Youth Championship Czech Republic 21VS England 21

Match time: 2025-06-13 03:00

1. Historical confrontation: England crushed, the Czech Republic had obvious psychological disadvantages

Confrontation record: Czech Republic U21 lost all against England U21 in the last 4 times, and the most recent confrontation (June 2023) lost 0-2, and both offense and defense were suppressed.

Psychological shadow: Four consecutive losses have left Czech players with insufficient confidence when facing England, and tactical execution is easily disturbed by psychological factors.

2. Offense and defense comparison: England has full firepower, Czech offense and weak offense

England U21: The offense is unsolvable, the defense is stable and the offensive efficiency: it hit 63 goals in the last 20 games, averaging 3.15 goals per game, and was sealed in only 1 game (0-0 Northern Ireland U21), with offensive stability being the best in Europe.

Defensive performance: Average of less than 1 goal, balanced offense and defense, and no obvious shortcomings.

Core Players: The forward players have outstanding personal abilities, the midfield organization and wing breakthroughs are extremely threatening, and the set piece tactics are diverse.

Czech U21: The frontcourt is sharp, the defense has hidden dangers offensive firepower: 8 goals were scored in the last 4 games, averaging 2 goals per game, and has defeated Belgium U21 2-0 and narrowly defeated Wales U21 2-1. The forward has a strong ability to seize opportunities.

Defensive loophole: When facing a strong team, the defense line is easily broken. In historical confrontations, they have been defeated by England U21 for a clean sheet or a big score.

3. Tactical Game: England's high-pressure offense vs Czech offensive adventure

England U21: High-pressure pressing + fast counterattack strategy: Suppress the opponent through midfield compression and wide breakthroughs, use the forward speed and personal ability to tear the defense line open. Settings and long-range shots are powerful tools for breaking intensive defense.

Win-lossing hand: Can the offensive end be efficient and can the defensive end limit the Czech counterattack.

Czech U21: Offense instead of defense, extremely high risk strategy: In the face of England's oppression, the Czech Republic may choose to take the initiative to attack and create opportunities through high pressure and rapid transmission in the frontcourt, but the defense is vulnerable to counterattack.

Hidden danger: If the attack is blocked, the defense line will be directly exposed to England's firepower.

4. Game prediction: England U21 wins a big away game or wins

Winning logic: England U21 has a comprehensive advantage in historical confrontation, offensive firepower and psychological advantages. Although the Czech U21 attacks sharply, the hidden dangers and psychological disadvantages of the defense line are difficult to compensate.

Score prediction: Optimistic situation: England U21 3-1 or 4-1 Czech U21, England established an advantage early on with offensive efficiency

. Conservative situation: England U21 2-1 Czech U21, Czech Republic stole 1 goal through counterattack or set ball, but it was difficult to change the defeat.

5. Risk warning: The Czech Republic may steal points by counterattacking, and the probability of a large ball is extremely high

Unpossibility: If the Czech defense line performs extraordinaryly and scores first through counterattacks or set pieces, it may force England to fall into a tough battle, but the probability of an upset is less than 30%.

Big Goal Opportunity: The total number of goals scored by both sides in the last 10 games exceeded 2.5 goals. If the goal index in this game is higher than 2.75, the probability of a big goal exceeds 70%.

6. Conclusion: England U21 points three points, the Czech U21 may not escape a series of losses

In this game, England U21 will rely on its overall strength, offensive firepower and psychological advantages, and will likely score three points away. If the Czech U21 wants to be upset, it needs to do its best on the defensive end, and hopes to waste opportunities on the English striker. However, in the football world, strength and status often determine the final result. The England U21 is ready to declare its championship ambition to the European Youth Championship with a victory, and the Czech U21 may not escape the curse of losing streak against England.

Thursday 003 European Youth Championship Germany 21VS Slovenia 21

Match time: 2025-06-13 03:00

1. Offense and defense comparison: Germany crushed, Slovenia was weak in offense

Germany U21: Offense and defense are integrated, firepower and offensive efficiency: Average of 3.1 goals per game, hit 33 goals in the last 10 games (including 10-1 massacre of Estonia), and the front line blossomed at multiple points

Stable defense: Average of only 0.9 goals per game, but the high-level defense line has the potential to turn slowly, and it is easy to be beaten behind by the opponent. .

Slovenia U21: Strong defense, weak offense, weak offense: Average of only 1.3 goals per game in the qualifiers, and was blocked twice in the last 3 games. The 0-4 defeat in France in the warm-up match exposed its shortcomings in tough battles.

Defensive toughness: Average 0.9 goals conceded per game, surpassing France to qualify in the qualifiers, but the defense line is easily suppressed when facing a strong team.

Tactical limitations: 5-4-1 Iron Barrel Rely on Defensive Counterattacks, but the front-line finishing ability is insufficient, making it difficult to threaten the German defense line.

2. History and Psychology: Germany suppressed, Slovenia conservative

confrontation record: Germany was unbeaten by 1 win and 1 draw. The last confrontation was 1-1 at home in 2020, but Germany had the advantage in the whole game.

Home advantage: Germany has 8 wins and 2 draws at home in the last 10 home games, with a net victory of 2.3 goals per game, and is full of deterrence at home.

Comparison of fighting spirit: Germany, as a favorite to win the championship, is determined to get a good start. Slovenia returns to the main competition after 4 years, has a conservative mentality and may aim to ensure a draw.

3. Tactical game: Germany's high-pressure pressing vs Slovenian Iron Barrel Formation

Germany U21: 4-3-3 high-pressure pressing, deadly strategy for set balls: suppress the opponent through midfield pressure and wing breakthroughs, and use set balls (corner kicks, free kicks) to break intensive defense.

Winning and Losing Hands: Bellingham's passing vision and Saka's breakthrough speed will determine the offensive efficiency, and set-piece tactics may become the key to breaking the situation.

Slovenia U21: 5-4-1 Iron Barrel Formation, Counterattack Strategy: All players retreat to the half-time, find opportunities through quick counterattack or set pieces, but lack creativity on the offensive end.

Hidden danger: If the defense line is continuously suppressed by Germany, it may lose the ball due to physical decline or mistakes.

4. Game prediction: German U21 wins three-pointers at home

win and lose logic: German U21 has a comprehensive advantage in both offense and defense, home court advantages and historical confrontations. Slovenia's conservative tactics are difficult to withstand Germany's youth storm.

score prediction: Germany U21 3-0 or 3-1 Slovenia U21. The German team may take the lead early through set pieces or wing breaks and then control the rhythm of the game.

5. Risk warning: Slovenia may steal points by counterattack

Unpossible possibility: If the German defense makes a mistake due to high-level pressing, Slovenia may steal 1 point through counterattack or set ball.

Probability Assessment: The probability of an upset in Slovenia is less than 20%, and the German team needs to be vigilant about the intensive defense and counterattack of their opponents at the beginning stage.

Thursday 004 US Job New York City VS Atlanta United

Match time: 2025-06-13 07:30

New York City: The home dragon attribute is significant, and the defensive hidden dangers are hidden worries

Home dominance: New York City's home winning rate this season is as high as 67%, with averaging nearly 2 goals, and its offensive firepower is stable. When the team plays at home, the midfield control and the efficiency of wing breakthroughs have been significantly improved, and the forward players have a strong ability to seize opportunities.

Defensive hidden dangers: In the last 6 matches, New York City has conceded nearly 2 goals per game, and the defense line is prone to expose loopholes when facing fast counterattacks and set pieces. In addition, the team's recent injury list includes core players in the defense, further weakening the stability of the defense line.

Data support: The agency opened a handicap of 0.5 goals in New York City, with a goal index of 2.75, reflecting the market's recognition of the home team's offensive ability. But the corner kick index 10 suggests that both sides may compete fiercely in the midfield, and the possession rate may become the winner of the game.

Atlanta United: The away game is full of insect attributes, and the counterattack efficiency becomes the only weapon

Away weakness: Atlanta United's away winning rate this season is 0%, and the average number of goals conceded more than 2 goals per game is ineffective. When the team plays away, the midfield organization is chaotic, and the forward players are isolated and helpless, making it difficult to form an effective offense.

Offensive Potential: Despite the sluggish away performance, Atlanta United's probability of a big goal in the last 10 games is as high as 87%, and it has unpopular potential on the offensive end. The team is good at creating threats through quick counterattacks and set pieces. The forward players have outstanding personal abilities, but lack stability.

Historical Confrontation Psychology: In the first leg of this season, this season narrowly defeated New York City 4-3 at home, but the game process was ups and downs, and Atlanta's joint defense line was broken by its opponents many times. In this away game, the team has a lot of psychological pressure and it is difficult to replicate the offensive efficiency of the first round.

The key to winning and losing: New York City's offensive efficiency and Atlanta United's defensive resilience

Can New York City break the draw curse: New York City needs to give full play to its home advantage and suppress the opponent's defense through midfield control and wing breaks. If you can score a goal early, the game will likely enter the rhythm of New York City.

Can Atlanta United succeed in sneak attack: Atlanta United needs to maintain a high concentration on the defensive end to avoid concealing the ball due to mistakes. At the same time, the team needs to find opportunities through counterattacks or set pieces, but due to their away game capabilities, the success rate of this strategy is relatively low.

Match prediction: New York City scored three-pointers at home

Combined with the offensive and defensive performance, home and away status and data tendencies between the two sides, New York City has a clear advantage in this game. Although Atlanta United has potential on offensive end, its away weakness and defense loopholes are difficult to make up. New York City is expected to defeat Atlanta United 2-1 or 3-1 with home advantage and offensive efficiency, consolidating its home position as Dragon.

Risk warning: Atlanta United may steal points by counterattack

Although New York City has a high chance of winning, if Atlanta United can increase its defensive strength to the extreme and create threats through counterattacks, it is still possible to steal 1 point away. However, considering New York City's home dominance and Atlanta United's away game, this possibility is relatively low.

Conclusion: New York City aims at three-pointers, and Atlanta United cannot escape the defeat. In this game, New York City will rely on its overall strength, home advantage and offensive efficiency, and will likely score three-pointers at home. If Atlanta United wants to be upset, it needs to be clear on the defensive end, and hopes to make mistakes on New York City's offensive end. However, in the football world, strength and status often determine the final result. New York City is ready to declare its home dominance to the FC with a victory.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the changes in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis