[9.7 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo today and Sunday 4 strings 1 football match preview analysis!

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Today's event

[010 World Cup qualifiers 02:45 Turkey VS Spain]

The top spot in Group E of the World Cup in Europe is full of highlights. Turkey and Spain currently have 3 points, but Spain is currently ranked first with the advantage of goal difference. The result of this direct dialogue will directly affect the group qualifying pattern, and the fighting spirit of both teams is full. From the fundamentals point of view, Spain defeated Bulgaria 3-0 in the first round, with a ball possession rate of up to 78% throughout the game. The dominance shown on both offense and defense is impressive. The frontcourt combination of Oyasaval and Yamal is in full swing. Turkey defeated Georgia 3-1. Although it won, the process was fluctuating significantly. It was tied with two goals at one point, exposing the stability of the defense line under high pressure.

The historical confrontation needs to be settled clearly, and the records of the European qualifiers and World Cup qualifiers were previously confused. In fact, in the World Cup qualifiers, Spain maintained a complete record against Türkiye and won the goal in both matches. However, Türkiye is indeed resilient at home. It reversed Spain 2-1 in the 2023 European qualifiers, but that belongs to the European Cup qualifiers. It is worth noting that Turkey's last defeat of Spain in a formal match dates back to 1967, and the most recent match was the 2016 European Cup group stage, with Spain winning 3-0.

Injuries and lineup, although Turkey has no important wounded, the top scorer Baris Irmaz is suspended due to red stains last round. The forward who played 2 times this season and scored 3 goals was absent, which has a great impact on Turkey's offensive firepower. Spain has joy and sorrow. Pino and Fabian Ruiz withdrew from the national team due to injury, but core midfielders Rodri and Carvajal returned from injury, greatly enhancing the thickness of the lineup. Although Yamal experienced slight back discomfort against Bulgaria, the latest news shows that he is likely to play, and the speed of this Barcelona prodigy will be an important weapon for Spain.

In recent form, Spain has only lost 1 game in its last 20 games, with amazing stability. Turkey has lost 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 games, with good firepower on the offensive end, but has conceded 2 goals per game on the defense line, which is a big test against Spain's pass control system. In terms of institutional trends, the initial market opened a Spanish pass with a 0.5 win rate, and the instant away win odds have dropped to around 1.64, and the market's confidence in Spain is very clear. However, it should be noted that Spain has a hidden danger from the away game - as long as they fall behind in the last 10 away games, they will eventually lose, and Türkiye's home winning rate is as high as 67%. This game will not be a one-sided situation.

Overall, Spain's overall strength and tactical system are still more advantageous. Rodri's midfield control after his return, Yamal's breakthrough ability, and the team's recent stability all give them the confidence to win away. Türkiye's home advantage and counterattack threat does exist, but Ilmaz's suspension has left a sharp knife missing on the offensive end. Recommend Spain to win away.

Comprehensive Recommendation: Negative

Score Reference: 1-2, 1-3, 0-2

Goals: 2-4