AA-Sport > Football > May 12th, some event analysis and forecast reference.
May 12th, some event analysis and forecast reference.
Atlanta:
1, recent state and offensive and defensive performance: Atlanta has been in a hot state recently, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 rounds of the league. Its offensive and defensive efficiency ranks among the top three in the league, averaging 1.7 goals and conceded only 0.5 goals. On the offensive end, Retge is in particular in a prominent state, with four goals hitting in the last three starts, and his speed and finishing ability have become a nightmare for the opponent's defense. The combination of midfielder Passalic and Kuppmenas has both control and attacking ability, while Lukeman's breakthrough cross on the wing is a key weapon. However, the team's defense suffered a heavy blow. The main central defenders Scalvini (shoulder injury), Korashinac (torched cruciate ligament), and Cuadrado (strained biceps femoris) were reimbursed for the season, and Shian was suspended, resulting in the defense being forced to use the substitute combinations Jim Siti and Palomino. The two have weak speed and coordination capabilities, and may become the key targets of Roma's double center strikers. In addition, the main striker Skamaka (muscle contusion) has doubts about his appearance. If he is absent, Retge will shoulder the offensive responsibility alone.
2, Home Advantage and Psychological Factors: Atlanta performed strongly at home, with 11 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in 17 home games, with a winning rate of 65%, and averaging 2.4 goals per game. In the historical confrontation, he has won 3 wins and 2 draws against Roma in the last 5 times, and won 3 home games, with a significant psychological advantage. Coach Gasperini stressed that the support of home fans will be key, and revealed that targeted tactics have been formulated for Roma's defensive system. However, the team is about to usher in the finals of the Italian Cup and Europa League. The physical fitness allocation of multi-line combat may affect the intensity of the league lineup. Gasperini may rotate in this game to preserve the main physical fitness.
Roma:
1, defensive resilience and midfield dilemma: Roma's defensive system has matured this season, and has completed 7 clean sheets in the past 10 rounds of the league. The defense line led by Mancini and Hummels cooperated closely, and goalkeeper Svilard has contributed key saves many times. However, the defense has declined recently, and it has conceded 2 goals per game in the last five games, and has been hit by counterattacks many times when facing mid- and upper-level teams. Midfielder Pellegrini (quadriceps femoris injury) and Dybala (skeleton rupture) were reimbursed for the season, and Sangare was in a long-term injury, resulting in a significant decline in midfield control. Ranieri may enable young midfielder Bovi, but the latter is inexperienced and may be affected by the efficiency of offense and defense conversion.
2, away performance and tactical adjustments: Roma's away winning rate is 53%, but recently facing the top four teams, only 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, and his tough battle ability is doubtful. Tactically, Roma may continue to use a 3-5-2 formation, attracting defense through double centers Lukaku and Azmon, unleashing the breakthrough ability of the wing Zagnolo, and using set pieces to create threats (12 goals scored in corners and free kicks this season). Ranieli emphasized the team's fighting spirit before the game, saying that "even if you miss the Champions League, you will not be disappointed", but you actually need to win to retain hope of direct promotion. In addition, Roma has a game with a ball possession rate of more than 55% this season and only 38% wins at Atlanta's seven games with a ball possession rate of less than 45% wins. This data may become the key to tactical game.
Comprehensive analysis:
The two teams have played against Atlanta in the last 5 matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws, and have won 2-0 away in the first leg of this season. Atlanta's high-pressure pressing and fast conversion tactics may target Rome's weakness of insufficient control in the midfield, but the potential for defense injury provides Rome with an opportunity to counterattack. Roma's three-center-back system was scored 11 goals by his opponents in the gap this season, which was the worst data in Serie A, and the gap between the Atlanta wingbacks could be targeted by Roma's double center. In addition, Atlanta's last five matches against Roma three times after the 80th minute, and its psychological deterrence cannot be ignored. Atlanta's home advantage, recent form and historical confrontations have the upper hand, but defense injuries and rotation may weaken stability; Roma's defensive resilience is still there and his fighting spirit is strong, and he is expected to create threats through counterattacks or set pieces. Overall, Atlanta has a high probability of a small home win, but the possibility of a draw cannot be ignored.
Monday 001 Serie A Venice vs. Fiorentina Sports Lottery Recommended: Let the Loss Score Recommended: 1-1 1-2 0-1 Goals Score: 2/3 Goals
Monday 002 Ruichao Gothenburg vs. Zogatons Sports Lottery Recommended: Win/Grading Score Recommended: 1-1 2-1 1-0 Goals Score: 2/3 Goals
Monday 003 Serie A Atlanta vs. Roma Sports Lottery Recommended: Win/Grading Score Recommended: 2-1 2-0 1-1 Goals Score Recommended: 2/3 Goals
Monday 004 English Championship Sheffield United vs. Putrajaya Sports Lottery Recommended: Win/Grading Score Recommended: 2-0 2-1 1-1 Goals Score: 2/3 Goals
Monday 005 Dutch League Dembos vs. Kampur's sports lottery recommendation: negative/draw score recommendation: 0-1 1-1 1-2 Number of goals: 2/3 goals
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