AA-Sport > Football > 【5.20 Tuesday Lottery】Dong Mo’s 3 matches preview, with scores, goals
【5.20 Tuesday Lottery】Dong Mo’s 3 matches preview, with scores, goals
Hello everyone! I am Dong Mo who focuses on football, and I will continue to provide some useful information today! Thank you for your attention and support!
Today's event analysis:
001 Premier League 03:00 Crystal Palace VS Wolves
Crystal Palace has just experienced the highlight of winning the FA Cup, but physical distribution and psychological adjustment under intensive schedules have become the key - players are prone to fluctuations in their state after the high-intensity finals, especially the core of the defense line, Mark Gei is likely to be absent due to head injury. Substitute central defender Joel Ward's turn speed and assisted defense experience may become a breakthrough for the Wolves' counterattack. Wolves' recent away performance has recovered, and the tactical flexibility on the defensive end is an important support: in the 4-2-3-1 formation, wingbacks Kilman and Semedo frequently retract to form a temporary three-center-back system. This dynamic adjustment poses a natural restraint on Crystal Palace, which relies on crosses from the wing, effectively compressing the opponent's breakthrough space in the rib area.
From the perspective of tactical games, when Wolves faced mid- and upper-level teams away this season, they actively reduced ball possession (average 38%) and strengthened defensive counterattack efficiency, with counterattack goals accounting for 42% of the total number of goals. This "retreat to advance" strategy has been effective in the first leg of the season away against Crystal Palace - although the ball control rate is only 32%, through a quick conversion, Huang Xican created a threat and finally tied the opponent 2-2, showing mature defensive counterattack execution.
Although Crystal Palace has averaged 2.3 goals per game against Wolves in the last 3 home games, it has no pressure to rank 12th in the league. The coach may rotate and adjust the lineup, affecting the integrity and tactical proficiency of the starting lineup. On the other hand, Wolves still need to fight to improve their rankings, with more motivation to play away games, and their defensive stability has improved recently, conceding only 2 goals in their last 4 away games. Based on the relationship between the status, lineup risks and tactical restraint of both sides, the possibility of a draw or a small victory for Wolves in this game is higher.
Summary: Crystal Palace has psychological advantages at home, but lineup rotation and physical potential risks cannot be ignored; Wolves' defensive resilience and counterattack efficiency are online, and there is a high probability of unbeaten away game
Recommended
Loss/Grading
0-1 / 1-1 / 1-2
2/3 Goals
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