Sunday/029/Bundesliga [Berlin United VS Hamburg] "Hong Xiaoyu" high-yield rice is 2.2 [1 mu/day] and 1,000 liters of water is poured into water. The average monthly rice harvest is 27,000 ki

Bundesliga Preview: Berlin United vs Hamburg Score Prediction

Berlin United 2-1 Hamburg

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Intention

Berlin United: Ranked 10th, 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), scored 4 goals and conceded 8 goals, home record 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss

Hamburg: Ranked 15th, 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses), scored 3 goals and conceded 7 goals, away record 0 win, 0 draw, 2 losses

Fighting Intention Assessment: Berlin United strives to consolidate the mid-range position at home; Hamburg urgently needs to continue its first victory momentum away, and the two teams are in equal fighting spirit

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Berlin United (home) Hamburg (away) advantageous side has achieved 1 win, 4 draws, 5 losses in the last 10 games, 9 goals and conceded 14 goals and 10 last 10 games, 1 win, 2 draws, 7 losses, 7 goals and 17 goals and 0 goals and 0 goals and 13 goals in the last 5 games, 13th against Frankfurt, 13th in the last 5 games, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 games, 2-1 in the last round The characteristics of home and away from home and away from Heidenheim Berlin United are weaker at home than away from home, and the "away dragon" is obviously bad away from home, and the Bundesliga has not beaten Berlin United in a row in the away game

3. Historical confrontation and psychological advantages

The last 10 confrontations, Berlin United has 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, and the overall situation is equal

Latest confrontation (2019 Bundesliga): Berlin United 2-0 Hamburg

Historical confrontation has obvious high goal rate: 7 of the last 10 confrontations have ≥2.5 goals in total

Psychological advantages: Berlin United plays at home, and has won 4-3 in the last round to show off its offensive power; although Hamburg won its first victory, it lacks confidence in the away game

4. Tactical characteristics and style collide

Berlin United Tactics: 3-4-2-1 Formation, focusing on defensive counterattack + wing attack

Defensive end: Midfielder Khdira and Haberle form a double interception barrier, averaging 18.7 steals per game (3rd in the Bundesliga)

Offensive end: Skov and Burke have obvious speed advantages, and the counterattack time is controlled within 3 seconds

Home features: Crossing from the wing is the main scoring method, 35% of the goals this season come from crossing from the wing

Main weaknesses: Injury of multiple defenders leads to unstable defense, weak defense ability at high altitude ball

Hamburg tactics: 4-3-3 formation, focusing on midfield control + interspersed by the wing

Midfield: Arnold controls the rhythm of the game, and the passing success rate is 85%

Wing: The fullback is forward and the wing forward form "Two wings fly together ", the right cross threatens the big

away game features: more contraction of defense line and less ball control, relying on fast counterattack and set ball

Main weaknesses: weak away offense, there are loopholes in high-altitude ball defense and set ball marking man

Tactical collision: Berlin United's cross-border breakthroughs just restrain Hamburg's side defense weakness; Hamburg's away contraction of defense may limit Berlin's joint offensive space, but it is difficult to seize opportunities on its own offensive end

5. Core players and injuries

Berlin United Core:

Ilias Ansa (Forward No. 10): The team's offensive core, has scored 2 goals this season, and the wing breakthrough is sharp

Robert Skov (Winner): Assaulting sharp knife on the wing, but foot injury is suspected

Oliver Burke (Forward No. 7): In a hot state, against Frankfurt alone in the last round, Hamburg core:

Luka Vuskovic (Defender No. 44): Bundesliga goal hero, first score against Heidenheim last round

Fabio Vieira (Midfield No. 20): midfield creativity core, contributed 1 assist in the last round

Rayan Philip (Forward No. 14): state recovered, against Heidenheim last round

Injury:

Berlin United: Yulanovic (Defender), Schaffer (Midfield No. 20), Ensocchi (Defender) Many other players were injured and missed

Hamburg: 5 players including Loconga (midfield), Dope (midfield), Poulson (forward), etc. Impact assessment: Berlin's joint defense line was damaged but the attack end was complete; Hamburg's midfield core was absent from the overall tactical execution

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: Berlin's joint handicap 0.25 goals, moderate water level, the market is slightly optimistic about the home team

European losses data: Berlin's joint win 2.10-2.20, draw 3.40-3.60, Hamburg's victory 3.20-3.40

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Berlin's joint win 1-2 goals, and the winning rate is generally **55%-60%** Total goal expectations between

: 2-3, the two teams have 7 times in their last 10 games. The total number of goals has been ≥2.5

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Berlin United will defeat Hamburg 2-1 at home. The main basis is as follows:

Home and away performance comparison: Although Berlin United's home performance is not outstanding (1 win, 4 draw, 5 losses in the last 10 games), it still has a certain advantage compared to Hamburg's away performance (1 win, 2 draw, 7 losses in the last 10 games), and Hamburg has not won away games yet

Core player status differences: Berlin United forward Burke scored a 4-3 victory over Frankfurt in the last round, and his condition was very hot; although Hamburg had Vouskovic and Philip scored the last round, the overall away offensive end was weak

Historical confrontation and psychological advantages: Berlin United has remained unbeaten in the last 5 games against Hamburg, and his latest confrontation (2019 Bundesliga) Berlin United 2-0 Win, the psychological advantage is obvious

Tactical style and injury impact: Berlin United's wing breakthrough tactics just restrain Hamburg's wing defense's weaknesses; Hamburg's midfield cores Loconga and Dope are absent, affecting the overall tactical execution

The game will present a pattern of Berlin United's leading ball control and Hamburg's defensive counterattack. Berlin United is expected to take advantage of the home court advantage and the instability of Hamburg's defense, with Burke and Ansar each scoring a goal to lead. Hamburg may rely on Philip's personal ability and cross-border tactics to win back the game. In the end, Berlin United beat Hamburg 2-1 at home with home advantage and better offensive efficiency.

Score prediction: Berlin United 2-1 Hamburg